Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.109992 0.117990 0.126272 0.135493 0.145478 0.155972 0.167842
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.095389 0.106924 0.119467 0.134144 0.150882 0.169412 0.191533
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.085180 0.098302 0.113042 0.130878 0.151942 0.176111 0.206057
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.080402 0.095056 0.111970 0.133019 0.158626 0.188909 0.227649
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.074484 0.089851 0.107994 0.131112 0.159948 0.194942 0.240949
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.069819 0.085741 0.104922 0.129882 0.161725 0.201279 0.254587
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.064855 0.080904 0.100583 0.126673 0.160628 0.203693 0.263039
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061286 0.077578 0.097891 0.125296 0.161641 0.208654 0.274828
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.058742 0.075396 0.096490 0.125428 0.164502 0.216011 0.290014
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.055603 0.072263 0.093664 0.123472 0.164383 0.219250 0.299567
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053194 0.069964 0.091802 0.122663 0.165695 0.224380 0.311867
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052597 0.070043 0.093087 0.126148 0.173019 0.238073 0.336942
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050314 0.067777 0.091146 0.125152 0.174110 0.243189 0.350090
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048098 0.065512 0.089113 0.123927 0.174807 0.247755 0.362661
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045467 0.062549 0.085966 0.120938 0.172749 0.248125 0.368794
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044610 0.062046 0.086252 0.122897 0.178011 0.259505 0.392343
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042667 0.059905 0.084096 0.121153 0.177616 0.262290 0.402501
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041037 0.058149 0.082418 0.120027 0.178073 0.266336 0.414786
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.038986 0.055698 0.079625 0.117091 0.175584 0.265649 0.419278
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037529 0.054070 0.077984 0.115830 0.175625 0.268893 0.430330
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036533 0.053091 0.077268 0.115950 0.177819 0.275621 0.447486
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035086 0.051378 0.075381 0.114160 0.176864 0.277180 0.455878
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.033987 0.050157 0.074195 0.113419 0.177555 0.281427 0.469063